UNEP Risoe CDM/JI Pipeline Analysis and Database

Last updated:
1st November 2009

Content of CDM/JI Pipeline

Contact

If you have comments or questions please contact:

Joergen Fenhann

+45 46 77 51 05
jqfe@risoe.dtu.dk

Frederik Staun

fsta@risoe.dtu.dk

Kasper Agger

kagg@risoe.dtu.dk

Download

CDM Pipeline spreadsheet

CDM project distribution within host countries by region and type

JI Pipeline
spreadsheet

Guidance document

Publications and papers
CD4CDM Project

CDM/JI Pipeline Overview Page

This page show some of the most important tables/graphs in the Pipeline, they cover the subjects of all the pages and are not repeated on the other pages.

Status of CDM projects

CERs

Number of CDM projects

CERs until 2012

CDM project registration

Annual ERUs from JI
projects

Registered projects over
time

Review history

Status of CDM projects

In total 4926 CDM projects are now included in the Pipeline excluding the 683 projects rejected by DOEs, the 136 rejected by EB and the 47 withdrawn. 1985 of the projects are now registered and a further 207 are in the registration process. 650 CDM projects have got CERs issued.

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CERs

The projections is for Issued CERs until the end of 2012 for issuance in the period 2013-2020.

The 2840 Million expected 2012 CERs from existing projects has been multiplied with the 97.0% issuance success, and the future projects under validation with the 17.7% chance of a negative DOE validation (based on the data for 2003-06, see table 9a in the "Analysis" sheet) and the 5.7% chance of being rejected by the EB.

Reducing the expected CERs according to time lags with the above mentioned chance of being registered and the issuance success we get the result: 1051 Million CERs could be issued before the end of 2012 (or 210 MCERs in each of the 5 years).

The fourth column shows how many MCERs, not issued in the period 2008-2012, is left over for the period 2013-2020 assuming the issuance in 2008-12 shown in the third column. However, a fifth group of CERs is added. This is for the CERs issued from existing projects after 2012 and until the end of their crediting period, or until the end of 2020 (here we have not added future projects entering the pipeline until 2012). The total issuance in the period 2013-2020 is expected to be 5798 MCERs or 725 MCERs/year in each of the nine years.

The calculation of the projected issuance included the timelag until request registration, until registration, until first issuance, and finally the timedelay between last issuance and the present.

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Number of CDM projects starting the public comments period each month, the number of them that have requested registration, the number of them that have CERs issued, and the number of them that was rejected by DOEs.

104 new CDM projects were added to the pipeline in January 2010..

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CERs expected until 2012 from CDM projects in each sector

While 60% of the CDM projects are renewables, they take 35% of the CERs. Energy efficiency takes 11% of the CERs for Supply-side EE and only 1% for Demand-side-EE (see sub-page on types).

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Number of CDM projects starting the public comments period each quarter, the number of them that have requested registration, and the fraction in % as a curve.

This graph shows that the new projects, which entered the pipeline in the first 3 quarters of 2005, had the highest percentage, which have requested registration: 92%.

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ERUs expected until 2012 from JI projects ( % in each category)

While 33% of the 306 JI projects are renewables, they only take 8% of the ERUs. CH4 reduction takes the majority (46%) of the ERUs.

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CDM projects submitted for validation and projects registered projects over time

Looking at the chart 10 in the “Analysis” sheet shown above it can be seen that since March 2007 the number of projects requesting registration has dropped down to 20-30 each month. It is strange that the increase in the number of new CDM projects to about 100 each month since March 2007, has not given rise to an increase in the number of projects being registered each month. (The points on the number of project registered in each issue of the CDM Pipeline).

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Review history

The graph above shows the total number of project requesting registration each year (we use the date of signature in the request registration letter from the DOE). The yellow bar shows the number of these projects, that are registered automatically. The graph shows that this fraction has gone down from 92% in 2005 to 31% in 2008. The values for 2009 cannot yet be calculated due to the delays.

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